Across the board, the New York Yankees are favored to win the Wild Card game against the Minnesota Twins on October 3rd, 2017 by nearly every shot caller. At a glance, it’s easy to see why. The game will be played at Yankee Stadium, which helps boost that favor, and the Yankees bullpen is amazing.
I have thrown together a few stats to determine my own weigh-in.
Ervin Santana vs Yankees this season: Out of 30 at-bats, the Yankees have scored 2 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks allowing a .233 batting average. In total this season, he has a 16-8 win-loss record. His opponents have scored 77 earned runs on 177 hits and 8 walks with a 3.28 ERA.
Luis Severino vs Twins this season: Out of 13 at-bats, the Twins have scored 3 runs on 5 hits and 1 walk allowing a .385 batting average. In total this season, he has a 14-6 win-loss record. His opponents have scored 64 earned runs on 150 hits and 51 walks with a 2.98 ERA.
So it’s a roller coaster. The pitching is great on both ends. Their seasonal records put Severino on top, while thier VS records put Santana on top. There aren’t enough VS games to give a solid analysis.
Knowing that this is a make or break game, each team has decided to start their best pitchers, and rightfully so. Out of my own research, I will not consider the Twins an underdog in this particular game. They may have came out of nowhere to earn a wild card spot, but they did just that; they earned it. If they were to play a series, I would consider them an underdog because the Yankees manhandled them in the regular season 27-19, winning 4 out of 6 games. Santana did not pitch either game won by the Twins in 2017. He did, however, pitch a white-knuckler loss allowing just 2 runs in an outstanding pitcher’s duel on September 18th. He gave up a 1st inning solor homer to Aaron Judge and allowed his final run in the 6th inning when Todd Frazier sacrificed Chase Headley home on a fly ball.
Regardless of which team wins, they will have their hands full against the historic Indians on October 5th.